Stable global crude prices, GST rate cuts to check inflation in FY 2027

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NEW DELHI, Dec 6: Though average inflation will rise in FY27, the upside will be limited by stable global crude prices, positive impact from GST rate cuts and muted price pressures from excess capacity in China, a report said on Saturday. “We maintain our full-year growth forecast at 7.5%for FY26. Growth momentum in the year so far has been buoyed by income tax reductions, GST rate rationalisation and lower interest rates,” said the report from ratings agency Care Edge Ratings.
Even with global uncertainties lingering, we expect GDP growth at 7% in FY27, it said, adding the Reserve Bank of India’s unanimous 25‑basis‑point repo rate cut to 5.25 per cent leverages benign inflation to stimulate growth.Moreover, the announced liquidity measures scheduled for December underscore the central bank’s commitment to maintaining comfortable liquidity conditions to ensure smoother policy transmission.”Amid sustained easing in inflation and a favourable food price outlook, the RBI has revised its full-year inflation forecast for FY26 to 2%from the earlier forecast of 2.6%. This is broadly in line with our forecast of 2.%” the report noted.Care Edge forecast growth momentum to moderate in H2FY26 as the support from export front-loading. (IANS)

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