New York: Donald Trump will win the November 8 presidential election, an American professor whose model has successfully predicted all but one White House race result for the past 100 years has predicted despite the Republican nominee trailing in most opinion polls.
“I think he was the strongest candidate in the primaries and that he will prevail,” Helmut Norpoth, a political science professor at State University of New York Stony Brook, told The New York Post.
Norpoth developed a model that, applied retroactively in earlier races, would have correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1912 — with the exception of 2000, when predicted winner Al Gore barely lost to George W. Bush.
Gore won the popular vote, but following a disputed result in Florida, Bush was awarded more votes in the Electoral College and thus won the election. (PTI)