Shillong, October 5: V.K. Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, suggests that the confluence of factors including a strengthening dollar, rising US bond yields, and surging crude oil prices is gradually subsiding, paving the way for market recovery.
As per IANS, while the decline in the dollar and US bond yields has been moderate and not sufficient for a complete reversal of Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) selling, the substantial correction in Brent crude to $86 is a significant positive development, according to Vijayakumar.
In addition to the macroeconomic benefits, the correction in crude oil prices is expected to have a positive impact on stocks within oil-consuming industries such as paints, aviation, and tires.
The sustained FII selling has adversely affected banking stocks despite their solid fundamentals. Vijayakumar believes that the upcoming Q2 results for banks will be positive, and their valuations are currently attractive, creating a favorable buying opportunity.
Furthermore, he anticipates that capital goods stocks will continue to perform well. The Q2 results of the automobile sector are also expected to be strong due to the favorable impact of lower commodity prices, and the market is likely to anticipate this in advance.
Vaishali Parekh, Vice President – Technical Research at Prabhudas Lilladher, notes that the Nifty index has shown signs of weakness, opening with a gap down and reaching a new low of 19,333. However, there was some recovery in the second half of the trading session, mitigating losses to some extent. The index is currently maintaining a cautious bias.
She identifies the major support zone for the Nifty at 19,200 from current levels, and suggests that a decisive breach above 19,600 is needed to improve market sentiment. The daily support and resistance levels are observed at 19,300 and 19,600, respectively.
In the market, BSE Sensex has gained 507 points, reaching 65,733 points on Thursday, with TCS showing an increase of over 2 percent.