Shillong, October 6: According to V.K. Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, the monetary policy announcement is in line with market expectations and is viewed as neutral.
As per IANS, the policy rates, as well as the growth and inflation targets for FY24, have remained unchanged. Vijayakumar emphasized that the direction of the market in the near term will be influenced by tonight’s job data from the US.
In anticipation of positive Q2 results expected in the coming days, rate-sensitive sectors such as banks are likely to respond positively.
The governor’s warning about the central bank’s intention to use Open Market Operations (OMOs) to absorb excess liquidity if necessary has caused a slight increase in 10-year bond yields, noted Vijayakumar.
Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services, pointed out that prolonged elevated interest rates could impact rate-sensitive sectors such as banking, automobiles, core industries, and companies with substantial balance sheets. He also mentioned that global factors, including elevated global bond yields and the strengthening of the US dollar, might affect the domestic economy and capital flows. However, he expects this impact to be mixed in the short term.
Nair further discussed the potential positive factors for the Indian economy, such as the inclusion of government securities in global bond indexes and the moderation of inflation, particularly in food and international commodity prices. These factors are expected to support the Indian Rupee (INR) and domestic corporate profits, even in a volatile global currency market.
As of Friday, the BSE Sensex has seen a rise of 327 points, reaching 65,959 points, with Bajaj Finserv showing an increase of over 3 percent.
